Case-Shiller from 3 months into the future

Saturday, January 26, 2008

New developments

This is a look at three major new developments in the county: 4S Ranch (with its older sibling Bernardo Springs), San Elijo Hills/Old Creek Ranch, and Eastlake/Otay Ranch.

Take these graphs with a grain of salt. There's a lot of noise due to insufficient data: less than 200 resale pairs are available for 4S Ranch and San Elijo Hills. I'm surprised that graphs came out as nice as they are.

Notice the periodic structure of the 4S Ranch chart. Seasonal variations are fairly common but they are far stronger in 4S than anywhere else. (Has something to do with Poway school district, maybe?)

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